Although there was a rare January Hurricane this year, that doesn’t change the date of the official beginning of the 2016 Hurricane Season. That remains the first day of June. Just because a system blooms into an actual Tropical Storm or Hurricane in January, it doesn’t change the start of the season. But, it does give us a slightly unusual start for this time of year in the tropics.
Will any names make history this year, like Katrina and Sandy did in recent years? What are the names for this year, and how were they chosen? The list is ready, and has been for years. You’ll find it here.
When a low pressure system strengthens to Tropical Storm status, it is named. Some of those named storms get even stronger and turn into hurricanes. How many of those will turn into hurricanes?
I follow several prominent hurricane forecasting organizations. They all make hurricane season predictions about how active they think the tropics will be in the coming months.
What are they saying? I've made a handy chart to show the forecast numbers from Colorado State University, Tropical Storm Risk, Weather Services International (The Weather Channel), Global Weather Oscillations, and, of course, the National Hurricane Center.
How accurate are these preseason forecasts? Read on to find out.